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Engineering Physics

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The forecast of global surface temperature of the earth for 100 years
Laptukhov A.I. Laptukhov V.А.

The new method of the forecast of changes of nonlinear aperiodic oscillatory physical processes is developed on the basis of search of complex nonlinear analytical dependence future from the present and past. On the basis of this method and observations for the years 1880–2012 is shown, that global surface temperature of the Earth T(t) now begins to decrease, in the years 2035–2050 will be minimal (T = –0,1 C, approximately such as in 1930–1940) and then will grow up to 2090–2110 up to value T = +0,6 C and to decrease till the year 2130.
Key words: a method of the forecast, changes of a climate, global temperature.


Contacts: E-mail: laptukhov@izmiran.ru

Pp. 67-70.

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